vrijdag 27 september 2013

Superbetting.com

This week I have received an invite to join the Superbetting.com website. I have decided to join them and give it a try. My, probably, 25 next picks will appear on the Superbetting.com website. My In-play picks will still be via Twitter, and all my results will still shown up on the result page. 
My first pick is already on the Superbetting.com website:
http://superbetting.com/preview/willem-ii-fc-eindhoven-asian-handicap-1away-team-t5318.html

woensdag 25 september 2013

AZ Alkmaar - Sparta Rotterdam (KNVB Beker) 25/9/2013 20:00

Date: 25/9/2013 20:00 (UTC+1)
Match: AZ Alkmaar - Sparta Rotterdam
Competition: KNVB Beker
Pick: Sparta Rotterdam +1.5 AH
Odds: 2.18
Bookmaker: Marathonbet
Stake: 10/10


Sparta will visit Alkmaar tonight. The hosts lost this weekend their away match against NAC Breda after European obligations. Gert-Jan Verbeek is known for his rough training methods, so his players are always a bit exhausted when playing much matches in the beginning of the season. Sparta won a difficult away-match against Fortuna. Sparta finally played a good match and seem to be in the momentum. I think this match can be close, a suprise for Sparta is not unthinkable. Sparta is top Jupiler, AZ subtop Eredivisie. I think +1.5AH represents a bit value. 

zaterdag 21 september 2013

ADO Den Haag- NEC Nijmegen (Eredivisie) 21/9/2013 19:45

Date: 21/9/2013 19:45 (UTC+1)
Match: ADO Den Haag- NEC Nijmegen
Competition: Eredivisie
Pick: ADO to win
Odds: 2.11
Bookmaker: SBObet
Stake: 10/10


Battle of the bottom. ADO have started the season not as they hoped.
NEC are as expected on the 18th place of the Eredivisie. ADO has much more quality than NEC.


ADO is usually strong at home and will want to win again.

Only problem is the pitch. Last week the game was called off due to too much rain. Still the pitch is not very good. Under 2.5 goals would be an option, but I will wait for this if I am seeing the game on TV, after the first 2 minutes. 

Roda JC - SC Heerenveen (Eredivisie) 21/9/2013 18:45

Date: 21/9/2013 18:45 (UTC+1)
Match: Roda JC - SC Heerenveen
Competition: Eredivisie
Pick: Heerenveen +0 (DNB)
Odds: 2.10
Bookmaker: Marathonbet
Stake: 10/10


Heerenveen has a good squad with Finbogasson, van la Parra, Eikrem etc.
Roda does not have a great squad. Only players who are above average are Donald, Fledderus and Hocher.


Roda will miss their targetman Frank Demouge, due to a suspension. Heerenveen has a better squad than Roda. Roda also lost last week with 1-5 at home from relegation candidates NAC Breda. This has been a huge mental blown for them. All of this makes me I like Heerenveen DNB.

Heracles Almelo - FC Twente (Eredivisie) 21/9/2013 18:45

Date: 21/9/2013 18:45 (UTC+1)
Match: Heracles Almelo - FC Twente
Competition: Eredivisie
Pick: Heracles +1 AH
Odds: 1.90
Bookmaker: Pinnacle Sports
Stake: 10/10

The derby of Tukkerland. Heracles and Twente ar rivals of each other.
Heracles have lost Lerin Duarte in the transferwindow. It seemed Heracles would have a tough season but Heracles have an excellent scouting and always get some talented young players. Tonight signings Amoah and Kangaskollka are not available, they will be replaced by striker Uth who has came from Heerenveen. Also Bel Hassani and Cziommer are excellent signings. Bryan Linnsen was the best man in Heracles last games.
Twente are having a great squad and are showing a bit of improvement lately from last season. Twente is always poor away and also they have drawn the last three matches they played away at Heracles.
Tonight also the artificial pitch from Heracles will play a role and of course the home support who whill cheer Heracles forward for a victory over their rivals.

vrijdag 20 september 2013

Fortuna Sittard - Sparta Rotterdam (Jupiler League) 20/9/2013 20:00

Date: 20/9/2013 20:00 (UTC+1)
Match: Fortuna Sittard - Sparta Rotterdam
Competition: Jupiler League
Pick: Sparta +0 AH
Odds: 2.06
Bookmaker: SBObet
Stake: 10/10

Bogers did not start well with Sparta. We (I am a Sparta supporter) have only 12 points after 8 games.
Fortuna-Sparta is always a tough match for Sparta. Sparta have to win to not lose the sight of the top and lose the faith of the fans. If Sparta loses tonight, everyone (sponsors and suppporters) will start a revolution to get Bogers fired. Also the pressure on director Vloet is building. A victory is essential for Sparta! Also I just heard the line-up which has some changes from previous matches and I have faith in this line-up.

Go Ahead Eagles - Cambuur Leeuwarden (Eredivisie) 20/9/2013 20:00

Date: 20/9/2013 20:00 (UTC+1)
Match: Go Ahead Eagles - Cambuur Leeuwarden
Competition: Eredivisie
Pick: Go Ahead Eagles to win
Odds: 2.25
Bookmaker: Tempobet
Stake: 10/10

Match between most named candidates for relegation. Both have started surprisingly well. Especially Go Ahead have shown some great play. Go Ahead are very strong at home, in de Adelaarshorst is always a great atmosphere

donderdag 19 september 2013

Estoril - Sevilla (Europa League) 19/9/2013 21:05

Date: 19/9/2013 21:05 (UTC+1)
Match: Estoril - Sevilla
Competition: Europa League
Pick: Sevilla to win
Odds: 1.90
Bookmaker: Tempobet
Stake: 10/10


Sevilla do not have to travel far for this match. The match therefore will be decided on pure quality. Sevilla have more quality so I think the Sevilla win represents some value.

Lazio Roma - Lechia Warschau (Europa League) 19/9/2013 21:05

Date: 19/9/2013 21:05 (UTC+1)
Match: Lazio Roma - Lechia Warschau
Competition: Europa League
Pick: BTTS NO
Odds: 2.12
Bookmaker: Marathonbet
Stake: 10/10

Lazio is always strong at home and I believe they will win this match. Look at the screenshot below and see that they have won most of their games with a clean sheet.

Maccabi Haifa - AZ Alkmaar (Europa League) 19/9/2013 21:05

Date: 19/9/2013 21:05 (UTC+1)
Match: Maccabi Haifa - AZ Alkmaar
Competition: Europa League
Pick: AZ Alkmaar +0.5
Odds: 2.07
Bookmaker: Betvictor
Stake: 10/10


AZ won their last match easily with 3-0 from Go Ahead Eagles. In the previous round they won the first match away impressive but lost the last game which was very chaotic and played in two parts as the stadium was on fire during the game.
I think it is possible for AZ to grab some points to Holland.
I have seen the highlights of Maccabi Haifa last round match and they dominated and certainly do not have a bad team. Altough I believe the AZ squad has more quality. +0.5 represents some value in my opinion.

Zulte Waregem - Wigan Athletic (Europa League) 19/9/2013 19:00

Date: 19/9/2013 19:00 (UTC+1)
Match: Zulte Waregem - Wigan Athletic
Competition: Europa League
Pick: Zulte Waregem +0
Odds: 1.97
 Bookmaker: 12bet
Stake: 10/10


Match will be played in Club Brugges stadium.
I have heard from a few people in England , Wigan are poor this season. Zulte, after a slow start of the season against PSV in CL Qualifiers, they are back in form and have beaten Anderlecht. Also some class players like Thorgan Hazard, Habibou, de Fauw and Kums.

Eintracht Frankfurt - Bordeaux (Europa League) 19/9/2013 19:00

Date: 19/9/2013 19:00 (UTC+1)
Match: Eintracht Frankfurt - Bordeaux
Competition: Europa League
Pick: Bordeaux +0.75
Odds: 2.14
Bookmaker: 188bet
Stake: 10/10


I know Frankfurt are good in recent times and Bordeaux is not the Bordeaux it used to be. But Bordeaux still has a good squad. I think this line represents value.

Valencia CF - Swansea City (Europa League ) 19/9/2013 19:00

Date: 19/9/2013 19:00 (UTC+1)
Match: Valencia CF - Swansea City
Competition: Europa League
Pick: Swansea City +0.5
Odds: 2.22
 Bookmaker: 12bet
Stake: 10/10




Valencia have lost their last three official matches. I think this match will be a close call.

PSV Eindhoven - Ludogorets (Europa League) 19/9/2013 19:00

Date: 19/9/2013 19:00 (UTC+1)
Match: PSV Eindhoven - Ludogorets
Competition: Europa League
Pick: BTTS NO
Odds: 2.00
Bookmaker: Paddy Power
Stake: 10/10


Although PSV are missing Karim Rekik due to an ankle injury I think PSV have a good chance to maintain the nil tonight against Ludogorets.

woensdag 18 september 2013

Champions League 2013/2014: Trading the Winners market

I have taken my opening positions in the Champions League 2013/2014 market. Do not follow this blindly, this is only to document my thoughts. Only follow if you are experienced. These are not straight bets, they are to trade. If you have questions, please tweet me @SportstraderNL

I have taken the following positions. My initial tought is to leave this after the group phase. Ofcourse I will manage this and will give updates after each matchday. I expect all to qualify for the second round and are priced up bigger than they should be. I have taken Juventus after their point loss yesterday against Kopenhagen.


FC Barcelona - Ajax Amsterdam (Champions League) 18/9/2013 20:45

Date: 18/9/2013 20:45 (UTC+1)
Match: FC Barcelona - Ajax Amsterdam
Competition: Champions League
Pick: BTTS NO
Odds: 2.12
Bookmaker: Marathonbet
Stake: 10/10

Barcelona is the huge favorite for this game (1.10). Normally before the transferwindow I would say Ajax would have a chance, but after the loss of Eriksen and Alderweireld the Ajax team will be to weak in my opinion. Other loss is Siem de Jong who had a collapsed lung, but reports are saying he is recovered and will start in the first eleven tonight. He certainly is not fully fit yet. Ajax had a poor performance against PEC Zwolle. Zwolle certainly is a good team but Ajax only managed to produce 3 shots on target. Ajax have get replacement in Duarte for Eriksen, he has a lot of potential but if he will be ready to show it against Barcelona? I think it is too early for him.
Sigthorsson is a real striker, not at all a Ajax player in my opinion, his techinal ability is poor, he has good striker qualities but not the technical skills to do well in the Ajax-system. Often you see attacks stops at him because a ball springs off his foot. He also was replaced by Hoesen in the last game. Hoesen is a great player with a great potential but he is not in great form lately.
I hope Ajax will surprise me tonight and give Barça a bit of resistance, but I am pessimistic. It would be good for UEFA-coefficients which Holland badly need. But I think this price represents value, I think Ajax have a 20% chance of scoring, so I decided to turn off my emotions and place the bet.

Olympique Marseille - Arsenal (Champions League) 18/9/2013 20:45

Date: 18/9/2013 20:45 (UTC+1)
Match: Olympique Marseille - Arsenal
Competition: Champions League
Pick: Aaron Ramsey Anytime Goalscorer
Odds: 7.50
Bookmaker: Betfred
Stake: 10/10

 Normally I only focus on match odds, over/unders and for a special system on First Goalscorer but I think I have found some value in this price. As you have seen recently Aaron Ramsey finally has become the player Wenger saw in him and I am happy with that as an Arsenal fan. He is great in midfield en also scoring lots of goals lately.
 He scored one or more goals in three out of Arsenals total of six offical matches played. Also he scored in two of the three offical away matches Arsenal played this season. Ramsey is a different player than in past years and I believe this price is huge value. Based on his form it should be around 2.0 maybe cause he is a midfielder 3.0. Although Cazorla is injured, most bookies priced him up around 3.5-4.0. This strenghts me in the believe this price is value.

Other tip in this match was yesterday given on Twitter. See the tweet below.


zaterdag 7 september 2013

Luxembourg U21 - Netherlands U21 (Euro U21 2015 Qualification) 9/9/2013 18:00

Date: 9/9/2013 18:00 (UTC+1)
Match: Luxembourg U21 - Netherlands U21
Competition: Euro U21 2015 Qualification
Pick: BTTS NO
Odds: 2.05
Bookmaker: Mybet
Stake: 10/10


I could not believe my eyes when I saw the odds for this selection at Mybet. I recommend to take it. It is huge value!! Other bookies are now pricing it up at 1.20.
Netherlands has a lot more quality and experience! You always have suprises like Hollands draw yesterday against Estonia but this is superb value!!


donderdag 5 september 2013

Estonia - Netherlands (WC 2014 Qualification) 5/9/2013 20:30

Date: 5/9/2013 20:30 (UTC+1)
Match: Estonia - Netherlands
Competition: WC 2014 Qualification
Pick: BTTS NO
Odds: 1.80
Bookmaker: Tipico
Stake: 10/10

 On paper Dutch squad  is much stronger. The Dutch defence normally consists of Janmaat, De Vrij, Martins Indi and Blind. De Vrij and Martins Indi  are making lots of mistakes in recent months at Feyenoord but are still peforming very well in the Dutch squad. Only thing I can see is van Gaal will bring in Bruma who did well at PSV, but personally I think he will wait till Rekik is fit again so he can work on a good base for the World Cup. Also Willems is an option to replace Blind, Willems is back at his old level, maybe even better. Last year he peformed very bad and looked like a spoiled child. Because of his attitude and lack of discipline he was also dismissed of every Dutch national squad (including U21 and U19 squads), he seems to be back to 'normal'. 

The Netherlands have had a clean sheet against most of the teams in qualification. Estonia only managed to score against Andorra, the weakest link in this group.



woensdag 28 augustus 2013

PSV Eindhoven - Cambuur Leeuwarden (Eredivisie) 31/8/2013 20:45

Date: 31/8/2013 20:45 (UTC+1)
Match: PSV Eindhoven - Cambuur Leeuwarden
Competition: Eredivisie
Pick: BTTS NO
Odds: 2.05
Bookmaker: Betvictor
Stake: 10/10

 I am impressed with the new PSV team this season. They have turned around in less than three months from the most hated team in Holland to the most praised team. They have a great attack. Last year they also had a great attack, they scored more than 100 goals, but they ended not as champions cause their defence was always very dangerous and they conceded almost every match.
PSV have made smart transfers and bought former wonderkid Jeffrey Bruma from Chelsea, whose carreer was not going like he imagined. Also they loaned 18 year old Karim Rekik from Manchester City. Together with 18 year old Jetro Willems, a left back who made his debut at the age of 16 at Sparta Rotterdam (and almost made a transfer to Inter Milan at the time) and Brenet or Arias they form the defence. Especially the central duo impresses and are playing like 28year old with much experience. Also Jetro Willlems who was the youngest player to play on a European Championship in 2012 is getting back to his old level, last season he looked like he a spoiled player, he was also left out of all Dutch national squads, even the U19 team, and looks like he has his discipline and mentality back. Willems is one of the greatest talents of the world on left back, his attacking skills are already world class but he has to work on his defensive skills. He seemed to realized this and is showing improvement in the early games of the season.

I have made this bets already a few times this season when PSV this season and I think the bookies are basing this price on last season defence. Cambuur is one of the weaker teams in the Eredivisie. I expect PSV to win here with a clean sheet (again).

AC Milan - PSV Eindhoven (UEFA Champions League) 28/8/2013 18:30

Date: 28/8/2013 18:30 (UTC+1)
Match: AC Milan - PSV Eindhoven
Competition: UEFA Champions League
Pick: PSV Eindhoven +0.5
Odds: 2.36
Bookmaker: Betvictor
Stake: 10/10


Last week was a pretty exciting game. PSV was again playing with the joy like they are doing the whole season and created lots of chances. Milan also create chances but the goal was scored after a horrible personal foul from Memphis Depay. Last week wonderkid Zakaria Bakkali was injured, the expectation is he will return in the squad tonight. He surely will add some class and surprises to the PSV attack. The first leg ended in 1-1. This means PSV needs a victory or a score draw (no 0-0) to go trough. This Milan squad surely still has a lot of quality but not that much in the times of Seedorf, Kaka, Ronaldo and Maldini when they won the Champions League. PSV is already impressing me the whole season, last week they proved they also can play against strong teams, I would not be surprised if PSV manage to get a draw or victory here.


Trading tip:
Lay AC Milan (1.33) or Back PSV Eindhoven (4.05) in the To Qualify market on Betfair. If PSV scores a goal this certainly will trade higher in play!





donderdag 22 augustus 2013

Atromitos - AZ Alkmaar (Europa League) 22/8/2013 18:30

Date: 22/8/2013 18:30 (UTC+1)
Match: Atromitos - AZ Alkmaar
Competition: UEFA Europa League
Pick: AZ Alkmaar -0.25 AH
Odds: 2.18
Bookmaker: Pinnacle Sports
Stake: 10/10


No time for write-up. Will follow later, if I have the time..

Kuban Krasnodar - Feyenoord Rotterdam (Europa League) 22/8/2013 18:00

Date: 22/8/2013 18:00 (UTC+1)
Match: Kuban Krasnodar - Feyenoord Rotterdam
Competition: UEFA Europa League
Pick: Feyenoord +0.5 AH
Odds: 2.06
Bookmaker: Betvictor
Stake: 10/10


No time for write-up. Will follow later, if I have the time..

zaterdag 17 augustus 2013

SC Heerenveen - SC Heracles Almelo (Eredivisie) 18/8/2013 14:30

Date: 18/8/2013 14:30 (UTC+1)
Match: SC Heerenveen - SC Heracles Almelo
Pick: Heerenveen -1.25
Odds: 2.15
Bookmaker: Tempobet
Stake: 10/10

Heerenveen had a great start of the season with wins against NAC and AZ Alkmaar. Heracles lost the first 2 games against Vitesse and Zwolle. I think Heerenveen will win this with at least 2 goals difference. Heerenveen has a lot of goal scoring potential with players like Finnbogason, Ziyiech, van la Parra, Wildschut and Eikrem.

Ajax Amsterdam - Feyenoord Rotterdam (Eredivisie) 18/8/2013 12:30 (UTC+1)

Date: 18/8/2013 12:30 (UTC+1)
Match: Ajax Amsterdam - Feyenoord Rotterdam
Pick: Feyenoord  +1.25 (AH)
Odds: 2.11
Bookmaker: SBObet
Stake: 10/10

Feyenoord is not in great form and will miss their captain Stefan de Vrij and Darryl Janmaat. His replacement van Deelen got a red card last week so he will be also not available.

Ajax will miss van Rhijn also cause of a red card. Biggest miss for Ajax will be captain  Siem de Jong, he is injured due to a collapsed lung.

Only on recent form you should say Ajax will win this easily. But this game is seperate of all the games. It is the ''Klassieker' compare it to Barcelona - Real Madrid, maybe the rivalry is bigger in this game.

Also Feyenoord do not want to lose this game cause it will mean that they will have the worst season start ever with 0 points out of 3.

Enough reasons to take the Asian Handicap +1.25. Maybe Ajax will win easily but I think this is value!

NEC Nijmegen - PEC Zwolle (Eredivisie) 17/8/2013 20:45

Date: 17/8/2013 20:45 (UTC+1)
Match: NEC Nijmegen - PEC Zwolle
Competition: Eredivisie
Pick: PEC Zwolle +0 (AH)
Odds: 2.00
Bookmaker: Coral
Stake: 10/10

Less time today so only a small write up:
NEC will be under high pressure, the last half year they are not winning anymore and the fans are not happy with the coach. Last week they wait for him when they came back from their match. Rumours are that Pastoor has to win this game or he will be fired.

Zwolle started the season well as I expected with 2 wins  in 2 games. They have a great squad and Mokotjo is doing really well in midfield.

Nec will be under high presure and I think Zwolle will take advantage of it.

Roda JC - Vitesse Arnhem (Eredivisie) 17/8/2013 20:45

Date: 17/8/2013 20:45 (UTC+1)
Match: Roda JC - Vitesse Arnhem
Competition: Eredivisie
Pick: Vitesse +0 (DNB)
Odds: 1.98
Bookmaker: 12bet
Stake: 10/10

Vitesse was poor against Petrolul and RKC last week.
I think Roda's squad is pretty average and Vitesse has much more quality.

I expect Vitesse to win this but due to their recent form I will take the DNB

Cambuur Leeuwarden - FC Groningen (Eredivisie) 17/8/2013 18:45

Date: 17/8/2013 18:45 (UTC+1)
Match: Cambuur Leeuwarden - FC Groningen
Competition: Eredivisie
Pick: FC Groningen to win
Odds: 2.54
Bookmaker: Tempobet
Stake: 10/10

Groningen started the season great and are in the winning mood. Cambuur did not bad with 1 point out of 2 games. They will have to get their points at home this season if they want to survive. I doubt that this will be today. Groningen is in great form so Groningen represents value today!

vrijdag 16 augustus 2013

Telstar - FC Eindhoven (Jupiler League) 16/8/2013 20:00

Date: 16/8/2013 20:00 (UTC+1)
Match: Telstar - FC Eindhoven
Competition: Jupiler League
Pick: FC Eindhoven +0 (DNB)
Odds: 2.22
Bookmaker: Marathonbet
Stake: 10/10

Eindhoven have started the season well. The first game they drawn at home against title-candidate VVV-Venlo. The second game they beaten last year title contender Helmond Sport with 1-2. This is a different Eindhoven than last season, coach JP de Jong is very demanding he wants to play for the highest places. Also they did some good transfers.


I have seen Telstar play against Jong Ajax and they were not good at all. Last week they have beaten Emmen at home, but Emmen is not one of the top clubs. I think Eindhoven can surprise this season and have a big chance to win this match. I think they should be the favourites for this match.

Statistical

I have did some statiscal research and have made my own odds. It is the first time I did it. This odds are based on the first two games, as I believe teams are always different from a season before due to transfers, different coach, injuries, momentum and different atmosphere.The sample size is not great ofcourse, only two games played but I think they give a realistic view. As I said it is the first time so I can have made mistakes and also I did not have the home advantage in the calculations as it is something I have to look into further.


My odds for this game:
5,49 - 4,72 - 1,65

The odds for Eindhoven to win are 1.65 and so I think Eindhoven to win represents great value. Cause the odds are so high I will take the Asian handicap +0 (DNB) so it is a draw we get our stake refunded.

woensdag 14 augustus 2013

PSV Eindhoven - Go Ahead Eagles (Eredivisie) 17/8/2013 18:45

Date: 17/8/2013 18:45 (UTC+1)
Match: PSV Eindhoven - Go Ahead Eagles
Competition: Eredivisie
Pick: BTTS NO
Odds: 2.25
Bookmaker: William Hill
Stake: 10/10

PSV new defence is doing great. Bruma and Rekik are really stable except one mistake against ADO. PSV won easily last week against NEC and I think GAE is a similar level. PSV have had a clean sheet this season in all games except the game against ADO.


zaterdag 10 augustus 2013

RKC Waalwijk - Vitesse Arnhem (Eredivisie) 11/8/2013 16:30

Date: 11/8/13 16:30 (UTC+1)
Match: RKC Waalwijk - Vitesse Arnhem
Competition: Eredivisie
Pick: Vitesse -1 AH
Odds: 3.35
Bookmaker: Marathonbet
Stake: 10/10

RKC had a good result against FC Twente, but was defending the whole game and Twente was weak in the finishing. Vitesse did great last week and played very dominant. Vitesse lost thursday against Petrolul unfortunately in the Europa League in the 90+5 minute.

RKC can not defend the whole game like last week cause they are playing home and the public will not accept that. I think Vitesse should win this game and the odds are very generous, given the fact that Vitesse have much more quality. I think Vitesse will win this game and just like Groningen there is a big chance that this will be with 2 goals difference.

FC Groningen - FC Utrecht (Eredivisie) 11/8/2013 14:30

Date: 11/8/13 14:30 (UTC+1)
Match: FC Groningen - FC Utrecht
Competition: Eredivisie
Pick: FC Groningen -1 AH
Odds: 2.60
Bookmaker: Marathonbet
Stake: 10/10

Groningen were really good against NEC and won 1-4. New signing Chery was outstanding. FC Utrecht was poor against GAE and it will not be the last time this season I think. Groningen are in a great mood and they will play at home in the Euroborg where a great atmospere is. FC Utrecht, only have Toornstra, but he will not win matches on his own. I expect a win for Groningen and there will be a big chance this will be with 2 goals difference.

Feyenoord Rotterdam - FC Twente (Eredivisie) 11/8/2013 12:30

Date: 11/8/13 2:30 (UTC+1)
Match: Feyenoord Rotterdam - FC Twente
Competition: Eredivisie
Pick: Feyenoord to win
Odds: 1.90
Bookmaker: Interwetten
Stake: 10/10

Feyenoord will want to recover their shamefull loss against PEC Zwolle. Ronald Koeman is demanding for from his players than last year, in his last year at Feyenoord (expectation is that he will leave to go the Dutch national team) he wants to crown his work with the title. Feyenoord has more quality in the squad than the current squad from Twente. Twente has some good talents but they are not ready for the big work yet. Also they have lost Chadli. Twente drawn the first game with 0-0 against relegation candidate RKC, Twente was the dominant team and produced enough shots but they have not the power to score.
Feyenoord is always very strong at home in de Kuip, the most beuatiful stadium of the Netherlands (after het Kasteel ofcourse lol), I have been there and the atmosfere is unbelievable, the stands are shaking and the crowd is amazing. It is not only the story that Feyenoord is strong at home, you can see it also in the stats. Feyenoord did not lose one game at home last year, in fact the last time Feyenoord lost in de Kuip was at 5 November 2011 when NEC beat Feyenoord with 1-0. I expect Feyenoord to recover and especially with the special powers de Kuip the players give I think Feyenoord have a good chance to win this.

Heracles Almelo - PEC Zwolle (Eredivisie) 10/8/2013 18:45

Date: 10/8/13 18:45 (UTC+1)
Match: Heracles Almelo - PEC Zwolle
Competition: Eredivisie
Pick: PEC Zwolle +0.25
Odds: 1.94
Bookmaker: Dafabet
Stake: 10/10


Zwolle was the surprise of the Eredivisie last season. They started the year great again with a last minute winner against Feyenoord. They have strenghtend the squad really good. Mokotjo, Fernandez, Nijland; all good players who have top-Eredivisie potential. Also the coach Ron Jans is a topcoach, he ended with Groningen always in the top-half, also with Heerenveen in his last season he did great. Jans is a Zwollenaar, so he wants to make the club of his city proud.

I do not know what to expect from Heracles this season. First I thought they were going to have a difficult season, but they have get some great strikers with the Finnish guy Alexei who I still cannot spell his name. Also Matthew Amoah is in great shape. Against Vitesse last week Vitesse had more posession but still Heracles had 8 Shot on Target and was very threatening with Amoah and Linssen.

Normally Heracles have the advantage of playing ona artificial grass, but Zwolle is playing on it also at home so that will not make the difference. I think Zwolles squad is more in balance and the value certainly lies with Zwolle tonight!

Go Ahead Eagles - ADO Den Haag (Eredivisie) 10/8/2013 19:45

Date: 10/8/13 19:45 (UTC+1)
Match: Go Ahead Eagles - ADO Den Haag
Competition: Eredivisie
Pick: ADO +0.25
Odds: 2.00
Bookmaker: Pinnacle Sports
Stake: 10/10


ADO has a great squad this season. V. Duinen, Holla, Coutinho, Jannsen, v. Haaren, Cabral and Gouriye are all great promising Eredivisie players who can make a step up in the future. They started the season with a 2-3 loss against PSV, which is not a shame. I expect a strong season from ADO if v. Duinen stays.

GAE has almost the same squad as last year, they ended 6th place but promoted via the play-offs. During the play-offs they were pretty impressive. Last week against Utrecht they did great the second half and deserved the three points. It was a great performance but I also think it was because of the worse form Utrecht in is and the lack of quality from Utrecht this year.

ADO has on all positions a better squad than GAE. I think ADO will win this. The value is for sure with ADO. I wil go for the ADO +0.25 AH handicap.



PSV Eindhoven - NEC Nijmegen (Eredivisie) 10/8/2013 20:45

Date: 10/8/13 20:45 (UTC+1)
Match: PSV Eindhoven - NEC Nijmegen
Competition: Eredivisie
Pick: BTTS NO
Odds: 1.95
Bookmaker: William Hill
Stake: 10/10

PSV started the season with almost a whole new squad and it looks like it is paying off. The most improvement is in defence, with Bruma and Rekik you both two one of the most promising defenders of the Netherlands and they are playing with each other like they are 29 years old. I expect a big PSV win with no NEC goals. PSV had a clean sheet two times against Zulte-Waregem. Against ADO they did not, but this was an difficult away game. PSV playing at home so big chance they will keep the 0. Also NEC was very poor against Groningen at home, they have bought the Schottish Premier League topscorer, but the rest of the team is under average, I think they will get a difficult season if they do not any transfers.

vrijdag 9 augustus 2013

FC Oss - Jong Ajax (Jupiler League) 9/9/2013 20:00 Pick 2

Date: 9/8/13 20:00 (UTC+1)
Match: FC Oss - Jong Ajax
Competition: Jupiler League
Pick: BTTS NO
Odds: 3.20
Bookmaker: Marathonbet
Stake: 10/10

Ajax won monday their first match in the Jupiler League with 2-0 from Telstar. The score could have been a lot higher, Ajax created loads of chances. Also in defence they did not give much away.

In midfield especially Bazoer impressed, he looks a lot older physically and in his play but he is just 16 years old. Also winger Lucas Andersen impressed, scored 2 goals and was very threathening the whole game.

In comparison with last game, Jong Ajax will not have the first team players Danny Hoesen and Jasper Cillisen with them, cause otherwise they will not be eligible to play for the first team against AZ this sunday.  Also Veltman is injured for two months, so he wont play also. Lucas Andersen is still a doubt, de Boer will have made a choice if he takes him on the bench against AZ this sunday. Also Serero or Klaasen is expected to go with the first team.
 So the squad for this match is still a bit doubtfull for Jong Ajax, it is all down with the decisions de Boer makes.

FC Oss has a full squad, no injuries or suspensions.
They lost their first game 3-0 against Jong FC Twente, also like Jong Ajax a second team of a club. Jong Ajax is in my ratings better dan Jong Twente so Oss will have another difficult night.

Oss is one of the weakest sides in the Jupiler League in my opinion, even if de Boer decides to take Andersen, Bazoer also with them I think Ajax has more quality than Oss. Oss did not create much against Jong Twente, it was one-sided traffic in Twentes favour. I was very surprised by this odds, think because the bookies have no idea how Jong Ajax strenght is. Ajax conceded only 2 shots on target in their first match and Oss had only 5 shots on target which were not very impressive shots.
This BTTS NO bet for odds 3.2  is for me my value bet of the year.

FC Oss - Jong Ajax (Jupiler League) 9/9/2013 20:00

Date: 9/8/13 20:00 (UTC+1)
Match: FC Oss - Jong Ajax
Competition: Jupiler League
Pick: Jong Ajax -1 AH
Odds: 2.92
Bookmaker: Marathonbet
Stake: 10/10

Ajax won monday their first match in the Jupiler League with 2-0 from Telstar. The score could have been a lot higher, Ajax created loads of chances. Also in defence they did not give much away.

In midfield especially Bazoer impressed, he looks a lot older physically and in his play but he is just 16 years old. Also winger Lucas Andersen impressed, scored 2 goals and was very threathening the whole game.

In comparison with last game, Jong Ajax will not have the first team players Danny Hoesen and Jasper Cillisen with them, cause otherwise they will not be eligible to play for the first team against AZ this sunday.  Also Veltman is injured for two months, so he wont play also. Lucas Andersen is still a doubt, de Boer will have made a choice if he takes him on the bench against AZ this sunday. Also Serero or Klaasen is expected to go with the first team.
 So the squad for this match is still a bit doubtfull for Jong Ajax, it is all down with the decisions de Boer makes.

FC Oss has a full squad, no injuries or suspensions.

They lost their first game 3-0 against Jong FC Twente, also like Jong Ajax a second team of a club. Jong Ajax is in my ratings better dan Jong Twente so Oss will have another difficult night.


Oss is one of the weakest sides in the Jupiler League in my opinion, even if de Boer decides to take Andersen, Bazoer also with them I think Ajax has more quality than Oss. A 2 difference goal win is more likely than impossible so I will get the Jong Ajax -1 line for this great odds.

donderdag 8 augustus 2013

Vitesse Arnhem - Petrolul Ploiesti (UEFA Europa League) 8/8/2013 20:00

Date: 8/8/13 20:00 (UTC+1)
Match: Vitesse Arnhem - Petrolul Ploiesti
Competition: UEFA Europa League
Pick: Vitesse to win
Odds: 2.00
Bookmaker: Coral
Stake: 10/10


Vitesse settled a good result in Romania with the 1-1 draw. The game was pretty open, Vitesse was the better side till Vitesse scored 0-1. After the 0-1 Petrolul began pushing and the Vitesse defence was not solid at all stages.

This weekend Vitesse played home against Heracles Almelo. This was an very attractive game against the old club of Peter Bosz, you would not expect less cause he loves attacking football. Vitesse, in the end, won easily with 3-1. The score could have be much higher, but Heracles also conceded 8 shots on target. Was this the achievement of Heracles of was the Vitesse defence again not very well. I would say both, but the Vitesse defence already looked better than last week in Romania. Especially keeper Velthuizen seems in great form, had some incredible saves and seems to getting back to his old level, when he reached the Dutch squad.

Overall, I was not impressed with the Petrolul side last week. I think if Vitesse can maintain the attacking game they showed last weekend and be a more solid in defende a victory is very appealing, especially because they are playing at home. I see some value in the home win. Vitesse has to win if get a 0-0 draw to go trough. Keeping Bosz's approach in mind, I think Vitesse will play safe, want to impress the crowd again and will go for the victory.

Reaching the milestone of 50 bets; analysis of my performance and some statistics

Today I have reached the milestone of 50 bets since starting my Twitter-account and blog. The reason I started the blog was that I wanted to improve my betting and trading skills, and ofcourse to share my profits with you. After 50 bets the time is right to see how things are developing. To be honest I am not moaning about the results. I started with an fictional bankroll of €200 , meaning I would use a €10 maximum stake (5% of 200).

Some keyfacts:  

Total bets: 50  
Total bets won: 28  
Total bets pushed: 6  
Total bets lost: 16
Total staked: 485  
Total profit: 103,28  

My Yield : 21,29% = (103,28/485)x100%
The Yield is calculated by deviding the profit between total staked.

Return on Investment: 151,64% = (303,28/200)x100%
The Return on Investment is calculating by deviding the current bankroll between the bankroll I started with, my amount willing to risk.

Strike Rate: 56,00% = (28/50) x 100%
The strike rate is calculated by deviding winning bets between the total bets placed. 
Strike Rate (push excepted): 63,64% =  (28/(50-6))x100%
 If I decide to except the pushed bets from the total bets my Strike Rate becomes even higher.

Loss Rate:
@Goallist_Ronnie mentioned on Twitter that the Loss Rate is more valuable to him, he uses it to gauge the length and extent of losing runs.
Loss Rate : 32,00% = (16/50)x100%
If I understand the concept correctly my maximum losing run in a bettingserie of 100 bets placed would be 32 bets. Please correct me if I am wrong.


I hope I can maintain this numbers at the next measurement point, which will be 100 bets, and ofcourse the end of the season.
If you have any comments, or you think I use an formula wrong, please drop a comment in the section below, always eager to learn!

woensdag 7 augustus 2013

Zulte-Waregem - PSV Eindhoven (UEFA Champions League) 7/8/2013 20:45

Date: 7/8/13 20:45 (UTC+1)
Match: Zulte-Waregem - PSV Eindhoven
Competition: UEFA Champions League
Pick: PSV -1 AH
Odds: 2.20
Bookmaker: Betfair Exchange
Stake: 10/10


PSV were very impressive against Zulte last week. The game ended 2-0 but the score could have been a lot higher. Also the defence was very impressive with the new central duo Rekik and Bruma. This weekend PSV had a impressive performance in the first half in the away game against ADO, first half ended 0-3. Second half PSV was sloppy and Bruma made a horrible mistake.

Important for this game to know is that Zulte is playing in their rivals Anderlechts stadium as their own stadium is not good enough for CL. There are not many tickets sold so the game will be played in an half-empty stadium, also half of the tickets sold is to PSV-fans. So PSV is basically playing a game on neutral venue.

If PSV stay focused they will not have any problems with Zulte and should win this easily and keep a clean sheet. Therefore, also because Zulte has not the home advantage, I think it is surely not impossible for PSV to have a repeat from last week and win this easily with 2 goals difference. With the -1 line you also have the cover if PSV only wins with 1 goal difference.

I recommend placing this bet at the Asian Handicap market at Betfair. Betfair is at the moment only charging 0.5% comission for this market and you will get most times a better price.

Zulte-Waregem - PSV Eindhoven (UEFA Champions League) 7/8/2013 20:45

Date: 7/8/13 20:45 (UTC+1)
Match: Zulte-Waregem - PSV Eindhoven
Competition: UEFA Champions League
Pick: BTTS NO
Odds: 2.42
Bookmaker: Marathonbet
Stake: 10/10


PSV were very impressive against Zulte last week. The game ended 2-0 but the score could have been a lot higher. Also the defence was very impressive with the new central duo Rekik and Bruma. This weekend PSV had a impressive performance in the first half in the away game against ADO, first half ended 0-3. Second half PSV was sloppy and Bruma made a horrible mistake.

Important for this game to know is that Zulte is playing in their rivals Anderlechts stadium as their own stadium is not good enough for CL. There are not many tickets sold so the game will be played in an half-empty stadium, also half of the tickets sold is to PSV-fans. So PSV is basically playing a game on neutral venue.


If PSV stay focused they will not have any problems with Zulte and should win this easily and keep a clean sheet. Therefore, also because Zulte has not the home advantage, the BTTS NO pick represents value.

zaterdag 3 augustus 2013

Vitesse Arnhem - Heracles Almelo (Eredivisie) 4/8/13 14

Date: 4/8/13 14:30 (UTC+1)
Match: Vitesse Arnhem - Heracles Almelo
Competition: Eredivisie
Pick: Vitesse -1 AH
Odds: 2.25
Bookmaker: Marathonbet
Stake: 10/10

Vitesse had a great season last year, still coach Rutten left. The new coach is Peter Bosz, who was before coach at Heracles Almelo, today's opponent. Bosz is known by his attacking tactics. Last season he played a while with only 3 defenders. Vitesse had a slow start in pre-season and also the match against Petrolul was (in special second half) not very good. At least Vitesse managed to get a good result for the return.

Vitesse's best players Bony and van Ginkel left, this will be a huge loss for them as both scored most goals and made assists. Still Vitesse has a great squad, and with Pedersen, Reis and Havenaar all players who easily can score goals.
Heracles has no secrets for Bosz and that is why I think Vitesse will beat them, also because they are playing at home. Count the fact that Bosz loves attacking football, surely a two goal difference win is not impossible.

Advice: Back this tip at the Betfair Asian handicap market, you will get a better price and the comission is only 0.5% this month.

Cambuur Leeuwarden - NAC Breda (Eredivisie) 4/8/13 12:30

Date: 4/8/13 12:30 (UTC+1)
Match: Cambuur Leeuwarden - NAC Breda
Competition: Eredivisie
Pick: NAC Breda +0 AH (DNB)
Odds: 2.52
Bookmaker: Pinnacle
Stake: 10/10

Cambuur was great last season but only became champions because rivals were failing. (mainly Sparta R. / Volendam). Also Cambuur lost Tighadouini, who returned to Vitesse.

NAC did some great business at the transfermarket. NAC also has a good coach with Gudelj, when he took over, the second half of the season was brilliant. Only big loss for NAC is the leaving of Gudelj son Nemanja, who was playmaker last season. Also central defender Botteghin left for FC Groningen.

Still NAC has a better squad, and the players of Cambuur do not have Eredivisie experience, or only a little bit.
That is why I think NAC is a value bet.

Advice: Back this tip at the Betfair Asian handicap market, you will get a better price and the comission is only 0.5% this month.
 

vrijdag 2 augustus 2013

ADO Den Haag - PSV Eindhoven (Eredivisie) 3/8/13 18:45

Date: 3/8/13 18:45 (UTC+1)
Match: ADO Den Haag - PSV Eindhoven
Competition: Eredivisie
Pick: Both teams to score (BTTS) - NO
Odds: 2.50
Bookmaker: William Hill/Betvictor
Stake: 10/10

 PSV was very impressive against Zulte-Waregem this week. No one expected anything, cause of the leaving of all keyplayers. But in fact, it looks like the lots of changes did PSV good. In attack they have some exciting youngsters. In midfield they won the battle for Adam Maher and grabbed some experience with Schaars. The biggest win for PSV is in defence, last season the defence was every week very worrieng. In fact, PSV scored more than 100 goals but conceded a lot. I think if PSV had this defence last season they would became champions. The defence looks with Rekik and Bruma now very solid. ADO Den Haag has a squad that love goals, especially at home. Mike van Duinen is very dangerous, but I think there is a great chance PSV will concede no goals. Bigger chance than the 2.5 suggests. I suggest to take it now as I think it is possible this will drop.

Ajax Amsterdam - Roda JC Kerkrade (Eredivisie) 2/8/2013 20:00

Date: 2/8/13 20:00 (UTC+1)
Match: Ajax Amsterdam - Roda JC Kerkrade  
Competition: Eredivisie
Pick: Both teams to score (BTTS) - NO
Odds: 1.91  
Bookmaker: William Hill/Coral/Betvictor  
Stake: 10/10

Ajax is the huge favorite for this match. 1.15 to win. And this is justly as Ajax is the much better team and has huge goalscoring potential. Ajax defence has been better since last year. Kenneth Vermeer is a great goalkeeper. Against AZ Ajax was sometimes a bit sloppy so you should say Roda has a chance to score a goal. But in fact, I do not understand the hype of Roda getting European football this season. Ofcourse they did a great job with getting Kali, but the rest are all average Eredivisie players. The only thing today where I can see a goal from Roda would be a Fledderus free kick. So in fact I think this bet is value and has a great chance of winning, especially cause Ajax is playing at home.

donderdag 1 augustus 2013

Petrolul Ploiesti - Vitesse Arnhem (UEFA Europa League) 1/8/13 18:00

Date: 1/8/13 18:00 (UTC+1)

Match: Petrolul Ploeiesti - Vitesse Arnhem
Competition: UEFA Europa League
Pick: Vitesse Double Chance (X2)
Odds: 1.73 (maybe higher on Betfair)
Bookmaker: Bet365
Stake:  10/10


Vitesse will play Petrolul away in their first Europa League match.  Petrolul is considered  favorite by the bookies.

Vitesse, has got to see some big players leave. Van Ginkel and Kalas left for Chelsea and Bony was finally transferred after a transfersoap to Swansea City. This will be a great loss for Vitesse, as they were the strongholders of last season. But still Vitesse has a great squad.


Squad Vitese for this match:  Van Aanholt, Chanturia, Van der Heijden, Houwen, Ibarra, Janssen, Kakuta, Kashia, Leerdam, Mori, Pedersen, Pröpper, Qazaishvili, Reis, Van der Struijk, Tighadouini, Vejinovic, Velthuizen, Vink

Pedersen has come back from a loan in Scandinavia, and did well and also played a good EURO U21. I think Vitesse has a better and at least even aquad with Petrolul.

Vitesse did not had a great pre-season in results, but showed some good play in most of the games.

Petrolul won easy with 0-7 in two legs from Vikingur. Vikingur is nothing compared to Vitesse, so they will be facing a real other level today.

Personally I am thinking this will end in a draw, but you never know if Reis/Pedersen , Ibarra and Kakuta will stand up today already so a protection in a Vitesse win is very nice.

I recommend placing this bet at the Asian Handicap market at Betfair. Betfair is at the moment only charging 0.5% comission and you will get a far better price. So Vitesse +0.5 if you decide to do this.

zondag 28 juli 2013

Eredivisie preview: Ajax Amsterdam


                                          A.F.C. Ajax


2012/13
Ajax had a great season last year. They became champions after a very exciting season with 4 posssible contenders for the title.  PSV, Feyenoord and Vitesse also have had some good papers at some stage in the competition. In the first part of the competition Ajax seems a bit unstable but the second part of the competition was very impressive.  In the second part of the completion they only lost away against Vitesse(3-2).  But after that loss Ajax kept winning, apart from some dodgy draws against smaller opponents.  In fact Ajax did this also with very impressive football. 

 

Last season a few players stood out. Tobias Sana, began the competition with some outstanding performances, but later on he was left out of the squad cause he was run-down.  Kenneth Vermeer became a stable keeper and developed himself in to the first choice keeper of the Dutch national team. Daley Blind finally showed his real skills as many doubted him. His attacking abilities were never doubted but he was always very weak in defence. He became stronger and worked on his lack of defensive skills. Daley Blind rewarded himself with the Title of Ajax’s player of the year and also became Oranjes first left-back. Christian Eriksen had an average season, but at the end he reached his ability.   Viktor Fischer finally made his breakthrough  and scored some great goals and showed that he is a great player.  Siem de Jong was very constant and was very important with his goals in absence of striker Sigthorsson. Striker Danny Hoesen showed in the games that he played that he is one to watch, he showed some great skills and also made some nice goals.

Transfers:

In:

Cause of the hold off of transfers going out Ajax only get 2 real signings.  Most striking name is surely Bojan Krkic. Bojan was always one of Barcelona’s greatest talents and described by some as ‘the new Messi’.  Cause he not wanted to stay in the shadow of Messi he decided a couple of years ago to move to Italy. He first signed for AS Roma for 12 millon euro’s (Barcelona had a 13 million buy-back clausule) in sight of coach Luis Enrique, also a Barcelonian. Luis Enrique was fired by Roma and Bojan decided to join AC Milan in last season. He only made 19 apearances in a disappointing season.  Barcelona still decided to buy Bojan back from Roma, but Bojan wanted more playing time. PSV and Feyenoord were also interested, but the strong friendship Bojan have with Johan Cruyff and the similar culture and style of play from Ajax made him decide to join Ajax. Ajax surely has a player now with the potential to be worldclass. Because Bojan already made his debut in 2006, you will almost forget that Bojan is still only 22 years old.


Other signing is Mike van der Hoorn, a central defender who came from FC Utrecht.  Last season he was one of the strongholders from FC Utrecht, but was most striking cause some big mistakes he made.  Because of his strong season, Netherlands U21 coach Cor Pot decided him to put him in the squad for the EURO U21 Championship in Israel, which he won’t wanted to be reminded off. He got some playing time in the game against Spain which Oranje lost with their B-team and vd Hoorn was not impressive. In the semi-final against Italy he replaced injured Stefan de Vrij but he made a big mistake in Italy’s goal.  Van der Hoorn realized him this self also and was in tears after the game.  Van der Hoorn is signed cause of Alderweireld might be leaving.




Out:
Ryan Babel, has decided to cash in Turkey. He needed this cause he decided last year to buy himself out of his contract with TSG Hoffenheim.  Was last year mostly injured, but if he played a welcome addition.
Miralem Sulejmani: Ajax biggest signing ever (16 million) never paid back his transfer fee. He shined some times but never was the player Ajax had seen at Heerenveen. Last year he did not play anymore cause of injuries and de Boer thought he was not good enough. Benfica still thinks he can be the player he once was, and a great chance Benfica will be right. At Ajax he was used as a right winger. He glanced at Heerenveen as an striker with a free role.
Isaac Cuenca; Cuenca did not played much games due to injuries but showed that he is a good player. He also said that Ajax is a great club and that he thinks about returning in the future.
Rumours:
Captain Siem de Jong was linked with several clubs, but decided last week that he will stay at Ajax this season. Christian Eriksen, is linked with several clubs among Liverpool, Barcelona and Bayer Leverkusen. Leverkusen was very concrete but Eriksed refused them as he thinks Leverkuses ‘is not a bigger club than Ajax’. Expectation is Eriksen only will leave if a top 10 European club will sign him.
Toby Alderweireld wants to leave this season. Norwich City had a deal with Ajax, but Alderweireld refused the offer as he thinks he can play for a bigger club.

Pre-season:

Ajax had a great pre-season which they crowned with a victory in the Johan Cruyff Schaal in extra time over cupwinners AZ Alkmaar.

Pre-season Results:


Striking is that Ajax played at the last stage of pre-season two games at the same day. They devided the squad so all players could gain some match experience at the same times and everyone is recovered at the same time. 

 

Ajax had a great performance against Werder Bremen which you can see the highlights in the Youtube video below.  Second half Ajax played with a B-team.

Johan Cruyff Schaal (Dutch Super Cup)


In the first half Ajax was in control and very threatening with Bojan Krkic. HT score 0-0.
In the second half Ajax was more sloppy and AZ scored 2 goals, after that Ajax made a comeback after a own goal and a shot from distance from Alderweireld. In extra time Siem de Jong scored the winner with a header.

Line-up:
Ajax will play in a 4-3-3 formation. The style of play can be compared to Barcelona's, althought Ajax shoots more from distance. 


Most used subs:
Hoesen for Sigthorsson
Andersen for Fischer/Krkic
Poulsen for Schone

Current Injuries:
Van Rhijn (hamstring, 2-7 days), Boerrigter (ancle, 5-14 days)

Notes: Ajax Reserve team will join the Jupiler league, the second level in Holland. Jong Ajax can use players from the first team, unless they have made 15 appereances or more in the first team.


Objective:

Ajax wants to add the fourth title in a row. Also Ajax have spoken out the ambition to get to 1/16 finals in the Champions League.

Eredivisie Preview





In the coming days I will post for every team in the Eredivisie a preview. I will talk about line-ups transfers and last season. After I have written all the previews I will post an conclusive post, in which I will talk about every teams chances.  I hope you enjoy reading it.

PS: If you see some gramatical errors in my posts, please put it in the comment section so I can correct it and learn some better English.

vrijdag 26 juli 2013

Eredivisie 'Topcoach'. Fantasy Team for the Eredivisie. Join my league!

The start of the Dutch season is less than 24 hours away now with the 'Johan Cruijff Schaal' tomorrow played between Ajax and AZ Alkmaar. The start of the new season means ofcourse also prediction games. I am very curious how your knowledge is from the Eredivisie. Please Join 'Topcoach' via the link: http://www.scorito.com/topcoach2013-1/twitter-sportstradernl?lang=en 'Topcoach' is a Dutch variant of Fantasy Team. Maybe you not know many Eredivisie player, consider joining so you can gain some extra Eredivisie knowledge. Tomorrow I will set up some other leagues in other Eredivsie prediction games. I will post the links on Twitter and on this blog. Would be very nice if we can get a big league! Join the Eredivisie Fantasy Team League: http://www.scorito.com/topcoach2013-1/twitter-sportstradernl?lang=en

vrijdag 28 juni 2013

Welcome!

Welcome to my blog!

First I will introduce myself a little. I am 20 years old and I live in the Netherlands. I was always interested in betting, but only the last year I am serious with betting. Over the past year (since october 2012) I have learned a lot. I learned a lot about value betting and that it is possible to make a profit from betting if you are following the right strategy. Also I learned alot about sports trading.
I have traded mostly football, which I am now the most experienced with. Also recently I am discovering other trading opportinities, like tennis, darts and horse racing.

On this blog I will summarize my findings in my journey of a beginning sports bettor/trader. I will write a few posts about where you can learn the best and which tools are neccessary to be succesfull. I hope this can helps other beginning sportstraders like me!

Also I will do a preview for the Dutch leagues when they are about to start. I will write a short anlysis about every team at the start of the season, this will be about the Eredivisie and the Jupiler League (Dutch 'championship', 2nd level).

Also, I know this is tricky, I will post some tips every week, mostly from the Dutch leagues. My tips will be based on teamnews, injury's, transfers, recent form, statistics and my personal opinion. I do not have a full season with results, so if you follow it is on your own risk.

Also follow me on blogabet.com, bettingexpert.com and ofcourse Twitter. On my blogabet and bettingexpert you can see my recent tips. At the moment I have a postive ROI of +8% on blogabet.com and +19.2% on bettingexpert.com .

Twitter: twitter.com/sportstraderNL
Blogabet: sportstraderNL.blogabet.com
Bettingexpert: http://www.bettingexpert.com/user/profile/spartaan10